Electronic Journal of Polish Agricultural Universities (EJPAU) founded by all Polish Agriculture Universities presents original papers and review articles relevant to all aspects of agricultural sciences. It is target for persons working both in science and industry,regulatory agencies or teaching in agricultural sector. Covered by IFIS Publishing (Food Science and Technology Abstracts), ELSEVIER Science - Food Science and Technology Program, CAS USA (Chemical Abstracts), CABI Publishing UK and ALPSP (Association of Learned and Professional Society Publisher - full membership). Presented in the Master List of Thomson ISI.
2006
Volume 9
Issue 2
Topic:
Economics
ELECTRONIC
JOURNAL OF
POLISH
AGRICULTURAL
UNIVERSITIES
Idzik M. 2006. APPLICATION OF THE ECONOMY BAROMETER IN WARNING FORECASTING IN AGRICULTURE AND FOOD INDUSTRY, EJPAU 9(2), #40.
Available Online: http://www.ejpau.media.pl/volume9/issue2/abs-40.html

APPLICATION OF THE ECONOMY BAROMETER IN WARNING FORECASTING IN AGRICULTURE AND FOOD INDUSTRY

Marcin Idzik
Department of Agricultural Economics and International Economic Relations, Warsaw Agricultural University, Poland

 

ABSTRACT



The paper presents construction of the economy barometer for agriculture and food-industry. Moreover, referential indexes and aggregated leading indexes were constructed. On the base of the referential indexes, analysis of cyclical changes in food-economy in the 1975-2003 years was carried out. Finally, warning forecasts for agriculture and food-industry were created.

Key words: the economy, barometer of the economy, warning forecasting, referential indexes, agriculture, food industry.


Marcin Idzik
Department of Agricultural Economics and International Economic Relations,
Warsaw Agricultural University, Poland
166 Nowoursynowska Street, 02-787 Warsaw, Poland
email: midzik@pentor.com.pl

Responses to this article, comments are invited and should be submitted within three months of the publication of the article. If accepted for publication, they will be published in the chapter headed 'Discussions' and hyperlinked to the article.