Volume 9
Issue 2/volume9
Economics
JOURNAL OF
POLISH
AGRICULTURAL
UNIVERSITIES
Available Online: http://www.ejpau.media.pl/volume9/issue2/volume9/abs-40.html
APPLICATION OF THE ECONOMY BAROMETER IN WARNING FORECASTING IN AGRICULTURE AND FOOD INDUSTRY
Marcin Idzik
Faculty of Economic Sciences, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW, Poland
ABSTRACT
The paper presents construction of the economy barometer for agriculture and food-industry. Moreover, referential indexes and aggregated leading indexes were constructed. On the base of the referential indexes, analysis of cyclical changes in food-economy in the 1975-2003 years was carried out. Finally, warning forecasts for agriculture and food-industry were created.
Key words: the economy, barometer of the economy, warning forecasting, referential indexes, agriculture, food industry.
Marcin Idzik
Faculty of Economic Sciences, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW, Poland
161 Nowoursynowska Str.
02-787 Warsaw
Poland
email: marcin_idzik@sggw.pl
Responses to this article, comments are invited and should be submitted within three months of the publication of the article. If accepted for publication, they will be published in the chapter headed 'Discussions' and hyperlinked to the article.