Electronic Journal of Polish Agricultural Universities (EJPAU) founded by all Polish Agriculture Universities presents original papers and review articles relevant to all aspects of agricultural sciences. It is target for persons working both in science and industry,regulatory agencies or teaching in agricultural sector. Covered by IFIS Publishing (Food Science and Technology Abstracts), ELSEVIER Science - Food Science and Technology Program, CAS USA (Chemical Abstracts), CABI Publishing UK and ALPSP (Association of Learned and Professional Society Publisher - full membership). Presented in the Master List of Thomson ISI.

Copyright © Wydawnictwo Akademii Rolniczej we Wroclawiu, ISSN 1505-0297

Kisielińska J. , Skórnik-Pokarowska U. 2004. APPLICATION OF DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS TO THE EVALUATION AND FORECASTING OF ECONOMIC SITUATION IN POLAND, EJPAU 7(2), #02.
Available Online: http://www.ejpau.media.pl/volume7/issue2/economics/abs-02.html

ABSTRACT

This paper describes the indicators of the present and future economical situation. The discriminant analysis has been used. The real income increase, gross fixed capital formation and low USD/PLN exchange rate are the good prosperity indicators. The next year prosperity is indicated by high increase of the gross fixed capital formation, high current account and budget deficit values (as GDP %) and decreases of the private and public consumption expenditure, export and low unemployment rate at the end of the year.

Key words: discriminant analysis, macroeconomic indicators.

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